{
 "schema_version": "1.3",
 "table_size": 6,
 "id": "aa-call-turn-xr",
 "format": "call_fold",
 "free": true,
 "rebuild": "v2",
 "provenance_class": "dealt_hand",
 "updated_at": "2026-08-08T00:00:00Z",
 "source": {
  "session_id": "CheckraisesandRiverbetsizingRegions",
  "verdict_audio": "quiz/audio/aa-call-turn-xr.m4a",
  "lesson_slug": null,
  "master_slug": "CheckraisesandRiverbetsizingRegions_master",
  "master_t": 2606.77,
  "ser_sentences": [
   365,
   393,
   404,
   407,
   422,
   423,
   424,
   428,
   430,
   431,
   432,
   433
  ],
  "verdict_beats": "s432 (w6852-6896, t=2871.84-2885.36) + s433 (w6897-6909, t=2888.40-2891.96), both spk=tyler spk_confident. Clip NOT re-cut this rebuild: the live 18.03s m4a (site quiz/audio/, prototype cut ad-hoc pre-tooling) re-ASRs (faster-whisper small.en, 2026-08-08) to exactly these two beats verbatim \u2014 see aired_transcript \u2014 and everything in it is true of the rebuilt hand: no positions, no table size, no cards, no bet sizes, no streets and no population figures are aired. Beats backfilled into tools/cut_quiz_audio.py QUIZ_AUDIO this rebuild.",
  "hand_record": {
   "lane": "FRAME_READ",
   "played": "A real hand of Tyler's own, pulled OUT OF his Hand2Note database mid-session ('I probably have this in the database I fell for this' s364; 'so I've fallen for it twice now with aces okay' s365). At t~2425 the hand list popup shows the hand's full one-line history; from t~2440 the H2N replayer holds it paused at the turn decision node, and it is still loaded 13 s after the verdict (t=2905), where Tyler's seat plate shows the in-game result. Frames are READ-ONLY provenance, never aired.",
   "operator_hand_id": "29198712 \u2014 Hand2Note replayer title bar, verbatim: 'Hold'em NL 2.5/5 - 29198712 - 4/8/2023 9:25:39 AM - Tyler'. Read at t=2795 AND t=2905 (own 4x crops, 2026-08-08); identical at both timestamps. No poker-room name appears in the bar; the hand-list row's pool-filter tag is withheld from this fixture per the no-operator-branding policy.",
   "stake": {
    "source": "Title bar 'Hold'em NL 2.5/5' at t=2795 and t=2905 (own crops) + hand-list row 'NL500' at t=2425 \u2014 $2.50/$5.00, NL500.",
    "usd_per_bb": 5.0,
    "note": "bb-NATIVE fixture: the replayer is set to BB display \u2014 open 'R2.5', flop bet 1.68, stacks 99/101/206.78 are all BB (at $ display a 2.5 open would be half a blind). Independent proof: Tyler's start stack reconciles to exactly 100.00 BB (84.92 plate + 10.9 + 1.68 + 2.5). NO $-to-bb conversion was performed anywhere; the only dollar figure on the quiz is the stake line in context, cited to the title bar."
   },
   "frames": [
    "cache/CheckraisesandRiverbetsizingRegions.mp4 t=2425 \u2014 Hand2Note hand-list popup ('Raised 1st: Bet | Bet-Fold [IP,HU]' report; filter tag withheld), pinned top row IS this hand, verbatim: 'N OVERPAIR A(heart-red) A(diamond-blue)  R2.5 C2 | 2(club-green) 5(spade-grey) 6(heart-red) (6) | X B1.68 C1.68 | K(diamond-blue) (9) | X B11 R27 F | R | NL500  10 d. ago'",
    "cache/CheckraisesandRiverbetsizingRegions.mp4 t=2795 \u2014 THE DECISION NODE (own extraction + 4x crops 2026-08-08): title bar as above; board 2 5 6 K in the 4-colour scheme (green/grey/red/blue = club/spade/heart/diamond); readout 'Pot: 46.85   Odds: 1:2.9 (25.6%)'; centre disc 8.95; Tyler bottom seat 'Tyler / MP1 84.92' with 10.9 out and A(red) A(blue) hole cards; 'SB 46.74' with 27 out; 'BB 99'; 'CO 101'; 'MP2 101'; 'BTN 206.78' with the dealer disc at the BTN seat",
    "cache/CheckraisesandRiverbetsizingRegions.mp4 t=2872 \u2014 AT THE VERDICT WORDS the desktop is unpainted white: Hand2Note has hung (s418 'the database has crashed'; s448 'completely busted my computer'). Only floating HUD panels render, at coordinates pixel-matching the replayer's HUD overlays at t=2795 and t=2905 \u2014 the window holding this hand never changed, it just stopped repainting",
    "cache/CheckraisesandRiverbetsizingRegions.mp4 t=2905 \u2014 13 s AFTER the verdict (own extraction): same title bar, same board and 'Pot: 46.85', SB's 27 still out \u2014 and Tyler's seat plate now reads 'FOLD / MP1 84.92': the in-game result",
    "cache/CheckraisesandRiverbetsizingRegions.mp4 t=2655 \u2014 aggregate report + Windows Calculator ('0.5 * 0.33 * 0.06' -> 13.1274) + Notepad ('21 Combos'): the provenance of the POPULATION figures Tyler quotes at s399-s421 (turn check-raise frequency, region size, value/bluff split, river-continue share). Recorded here as pipeline-side provenance and GATED: none of those numbers is displayed or aired (rule 7 \u2014 the direction 'count his two-pair combos, the region is tiny' airs; the measured magnitudes do not)"
   ],
   "identity_corroborations": [
    "Operator hand-ID 29198712 read off the title bar at two different timestamps (t=2795, t=2905), own crops, identical strings.",
    "Spoken-fact <-> pixel triangulation: s428's IN-GAME enumeration 'king 6, king 5, 6 5...' is the two-pair set of THIS board 2-5-6-K (not of the v1 fixture's K-6-5-4); s365/s431 'aces'/'the play' match the felt A(red) A(blue) and the FOLD plate.",
    "Action-shape match: hand-list row 'X B11 R27 F' <-> felt 10.9 out (Tyler), 27 out (SB), FOLD plate at t=2905."
   ],
   "log_verbatim": [
    "SOURCE: the hand-list row (t=2425) is the typed action log; every amount is cross-anchored to a felt element at t=2795/t=2905. Position tags are printed on the seat plates (MP1, MP2, CO, BTN, SB, BB).",
    "MP1 (Tyler) raises to 2.5 BB    [row 'R2.5'; start-stack identity 84.92+10.9+1.68+2.5 = 100.00]",
    "MP2, CO, BTN fold               [plates 101 / 101 / 206.78 untouched on every frame]",
    "SB calls 2 BB more (0.5 -> 2.5) [row 'C2'; SB start 46.74+27+1.68+2.5 = 77.92]",
    "BB folds (1 BB dead)            [row pot '(6)' = 2.5+2.5+1; BB plate 99 = 100 start - 1 posted]",
    "FLOP 2c 5s 6h                   [row card colours + felt 4-colour board at t=2795]",
    "SB checks, MP1 bets 1.68, SB calls  [row 'X B1.68 C1.68'; row pot '(9)'; felt centre 8.95 (rake-net display, see notes)]",
    "TURN Kd                         [row 'K(blue)'; felt 4th card]",
    "SB checks, MP1 bets 10.9, SB check-raises to 27  [felt chip '10.9' (row rounds double-digit amounts: 'B11'); felt '27' / row 'R27'] \u2014 THE DECISION",
    "In game MP1 FOLDED              [row 'F'; 'FOLD' plate at t=2905; s431 'I didn't consider that when I was making the play']"
   ],
   "seat_derivation": "All six seats dealt; the felt prints its own position tags. Dealer disc at the BTN seat on every frame. Tyler = MP1 = first-in seat of the 6-handed table, rendered UTG; MP2 = second-in, rendered HJ (the only relabels \u2014 see cosmetic_invention). SB is the caller and plays the hand OUT OF POSITION; hero is in position throughout. The v1 fixture's BTN-hero-vs-BB geometry was invented.",
   "villain_read": "'REC' is Tyler's stated in-game read on THIS opponent: 'I knew he was a rec' (s393), delivered between s392 ('this particular combo here') and Eric's s394 about this same decision. A read on one opponent, cited to the tape \u2014 not population data. The v1 fixture's 'REG' label was unsourced and is removed.",
   "stacks": "Hand-start: Tyler 100.00 BB (84.92 + 10.9 + 1.68 + 2.5, exact), SB 77.92 BB (46.74 + 27 + 1.68 + 2.5), BB 100 (99 + 1 posted); MP2 101, CO 101, BTN 206.78 untouched. At the decision: hero 84.92 behind, SB 46.74 behind (both plate zooms, t=2795, re-confirmed t=2905).",
   "pots_by_street": "Preflop 6.00 (2.5 + 2.5 + 1 dead; row '(6)') -> flop settled 9.36 (6 + 1.68 + 1.68; row '(9)') -> facing 47.26 (9.36 + 10.9 + 27). The replayer's own pot boxes print 8.95 and 46.85 \u2014 0.41 BB under the chip sums, read as its rake-net pot display convention; its odds line '1:2.9 (25.6%)' is the same price as the fixture's 16.1/(47.26+16.1) = 25.4% within that 0.41.",
   "hud_reads": "HUD panels ('34 26 / 65 10' beside the hero seat; '37 19 659k / 50 ... 42 25 / 33 44' floating panels; plate suffixes '95%'/'5%') are recorded as present and GATED \u2014 never displayed, never aired.",
   "result": "Tyler folded in game (row 'F', FOLD plate t=2905) and grades his own fold wrong on review: s431 'aces is a little particular because it has more equity and I didn't consider that when I was making the play' -> s432 'aces becomes a call'. The quiz ends at the decision node; the feedback narrates the fold as Tyler's own graded mistake, which the tape states outright.",
   "verdict_screens": "At the verdict words (t=2872) the screen is a hung white desktop with only HUD overlays \u2014 the ruling is spoken from memory about the loaded hand, which is on screen before (t=2795) and after (t=2905) at identical window coordinates. NOTE: the large 'A K' card pair rendered above the SB seat at t=2795 is the Range Explorer's selected-combo overlay (Tyler examining ace-king, the hand he contrasts in the verdict), NOT the villain's hole cards \u2014 villain's cards are never shown."
  }
 },
 "context": "$2.50/$5 ONLINE 6-MAX \u00b7 UTG vs SB \u00b7 SINGLE-RAISED POT",
 "hero": {
  "pos": "UTG",
  "cards": [
   "Ah",
   "Ad"
  ],
  "stack_bb": 84.92,
  "avatar": "lono_ghoul",
  "button": false
 },
 "seats": [
  {
   "pos": "HJ",
   "avatar": "ghoul_4193",
   "folded": true
  },
  {
   "pos": "CO",
   "avatar": "ghoul_2046",
   "folded": true
  },
  {
   "pos": "BTN",
   "avatar": "ghoul_2059",
   "folded": true,
   "button": true
  },
  {
   "pos": "SB",
   "avatar": "ghoul_3826",
   "name": "REC",
   "stack_bb": 46.74,
   "villain": true
  },
  {
   "pos": "BB",
   "avatar": "ghoul_1211",
   "folded": true
  }
 ],
 "streets": [
  {
   "name": "preflop",
   "actions": [
    {
     "pos": "hero",
     "act": "open",
     "to_bb": 2.5
    },
    {
     "pos": "HJ",
     "act": "fold"
    },
    {
     "pos": "CO",
     "act": "fold"
    },
    {
     "pos": "BTN",
     "act": "fold"
    },
    {
     "pos": "SB",
     "act": "call"
    },
    {
     "pos": "BB",
     "act": "fold"
    }
   ],
   "pot_bb": 6
  },
  {
   "name": "flop",
   "board": [
    "2c",
    "5s",
    "6h"
   ],
   "actions": [
    {
     "pos": "SB",
     "act": "check"
    },
    {
     "pos": "hero",
     "act": "bet",
     "to_bb": 1.68
    },
    {
     "pos": "SB",
     "act": "call"
    }
   ],
   "pot_bb": 9.36
  },
  {
   "name": "turn",
   "board": [
    "2c",
    "5s",
    "6h",
    "Kd"
   ],
   "actions": [
    {
     "pos": "SB",
     "act": "check"
    },
    {
     "pos": "hero",
     "act": "bet",
     "to_bb": 10.9
    },
    {
     "pos": "SB",
     "act": "raise",
     "to_bb": 27
    }
   ]
  }
 ],
 "prompt": "CHECK-RAISED: 16.1 MORE TO CALL \u2014 A\u2665A\u2666",
 "pot_bb": 47.26,
 "options": [
  {
   "id": "call",
   "label": "CALL"
  },
  {
   "id": "fold",
   "label": "FOLD"
  }
 ],
 "correct": "call",
 "option_feedback": {
  "call": "Right \u2014 and at the table Tyler folded, then graded his own fold wrong on review. The turn check-raise here is close to pure two pair \u2014 K6, K5, 65, the combos he counted in game \u2014 and aces keeps live outs against exactly that: two aces, plus every board-pairing deuce, five, six and king that turns the overpair into aces-up over their two pair. Tyler's number is ~15%. The bare price is steeper, but the raise left his stack at 46.74, and two pair pays when the suck-out lands: 16.1 to win the 47.26 in the middle plus the 46.74 behind needs ~14.6%. Close, in his own words \u2014 and it switches aces to a call.",
  "fold": "That's the right move with ace-king \u2014 more like 7 by Tyler's count, since against the king-and-x two pair he's weighing, three aces is nearly all the help coming. Aces is different: any board-pairing card makes the top two pair, aces-up \u2014 that's the ~15% which, with villain's 46.74 behind the raise, flips this spot to a call. Tyler folded aces here in game; on review he calls that fold the mistake."
 },
 "verdict_text": "The fact that aces has about 15 percent equity against that range switches it to a call \u2014 ace-king has more like 7, and becomes a fold there. Facing check-raises, you want to be really careful.",
 "principle": "Facing a turn check-raise, don't rank bluff-catchers by label \u2014 count the two-pair combos and ask what improves against them: the overpair's aces-up outs plus the stack behind make aces a call where ace-king folds.",
 "concept": "equity-not-strength-vs-turn-raise",
 "concepts_secondary": [],
 "topic": "check-raising",
 "difficulty": 5,
 "aired_transcript": "And so the fact that aces has about 15 percent equity against that range switches it to do a call. But ace king wouldn't, ace king has more like seven, and so you know aces becomes a call and ace king becomes a folder. Yeah, so what your face of check raises you want to be really careful.",
 "aired_transcript_note": "Verbatim small.en re-ASR of the live 18.03s quiz/audio/aa-call-turn-xr.m4a (site copy fetched + re-run 2026-08-08), which is s432 + s433 exactly. ASR quirks, not the clip: 'a folder' = the spoken 'a fold there'; 'what your face of' = 'when you're facing' (SER s433). No cards, positions, streets, sizes or population figures are aired; the aired 15/seven are Tyler's single-hand equities vs the range he enumerates on tape.",
 "pct_provenance": {
  "15": {
   "role": "tape_single_hand",
   "referent": "AA's chance to be best by the end against the two-pair check-raise region Tyler enumerates for THIS board (K6, K5, 65...; s428): two aces plus the board-pairing cards that make aces-up over their two pair. His spoken number for this hand \u2014 NOT hero's equity vs a full range, and NOT a claim that 15 beats the immediate 25.4% price (the feedback shows the stack-behind threshold it does beat). Card math brackets it: vs pure two pair AA has 8 of 44 cards \u2248 18%, and the 2pair+ tail (sets) pulls it toward his 15.",
   "source": "spoken s432 'aces has about 15 % equity against that range' (aired); mechanism s404 'you will suck out on 2 pair occasionally', s422 'it will suck out on the 2 pair combos enough'"
  },
  "14.6": {
   "role": "fixture_math",
   "referent": "the breakeven for the turn call once villain's remaining 46.74 also comes in on the suck-out: 16.1 / (47.26 + 16.1 + 46.74) = 14.6%. Assumes his two pair pays off when hero improves \u2014 Tyler's own stated plan (s404/s422/s407), and why he calls it 'really close' (s424).",
   "source": "recomputed from fixture values (claims[]); stacks and price pixel-read at t=2795"
  }
 },
 "size_claims": {
  "_note": "No size adjective appears in any displayed string, the id, or the aired clip. Entries document the real bets read off the replayer felt and hand-list row.",
  "open to 2.5": {
   "street": "preflop",
   "actor": "hero (MP1/UTG)",
   "to_bb": 2.5,
   "source": "row 'R2.5', t=2425; start-stack identity confirms"
  },
  "flop bet 1.68": {
   "street": "flop",
   "actor": "hero",
   "to_bb": 1.68,
   "pct_of_pot": 28.0,
   "source": "row 'X B1.68 C1.68' into the settled 6 (row pot '(6)'), t=2425"
  },
  "turn bet 10.9": {
   "street": "turn",
   "actor": "hero",
   "to_bb": 10.9,
   "pct_of_pot": 116.5,
   "source": "felt chip '10.9' into the settled 9.36, t=2795 (row rounds to 'B11'; the 100.00 start-stack identity resolves it to 10.9)"
  },
  "check-raise to 27": {
   "street": "turn",
   "actor": "SB",
   "to_bb": 27,
   "source": "felt '27' + row 'R27', t=2795/t=2905 \u2014 2.48x the 10.9 bet, leaving himself 46.74"
  }
 },
 "claims": [
  {
   "text": "the decision price: SB check-raises to 27 over hero's 10.9; a call is 16.1 more to win 47.26",
   "lhs": "hero's immediate price at the node",
   "op": "=",
   "rhs": "16.1 / (47.26 + 16.1) = 25.4% breakeven; the replayer's own readout prints 'Odds: 1:2.9 (25.6%)' against its rake-net 'Pot: 46.85'",
   "source": "pixels t=2795 (chips, plates, odds line); arithmetic recomputed"
  },
  {
   "text": "pot chain: 6 preflop -> 9.36 turn-start -> 47.26 facing",
   "lhs": "recomputed street pots",
   "op": "=",
   "rhs": "2.5 + 2.5 + 1 dead = 6 (row '(6)'); + 1.68 + 1.68 = 9.36 (row '(9)'); + 10.9 + 27 = 47.26. The felt pot boxes (8.95 / 46.85) sit 0.41 BB under the chip sums \u2014 the replayer's rake-net display; the fixture displays chip sums",
   "source": "hand-list row t=2425; felt boxes t=2795/t=2905"
  },
  {
   "text": "the displayed ~14.6% threshold: 16.1 to win 47.26 in the middle plus the 46.74 behind",
   "lhs": "breakeven with villain's remaining stack in the win column",
   "op": "=",
   "rhs": "16.1 / (47.26 + 16.1 + 46.74) = 16.1 / 110.1 = 14.6% \u2014 under Tyler's ~15 for aces, far over ace-king's ~7. Conditional on the two-pair payoff Tyler asserts (s404/s422); consistent with his 'really close with aces' (s424)",
   "source": "fixture values; SB 46.74 behind pixel-read at t=2795 and t=2905"
  },
  {
   "text": "the aired 'ace king has more like seven': vs the K6/K5-weighted two-pair region only the three aces reliably rescue ace-king (a low board pair gives it kings-up with the second pair dominated; a king fills K6/K5), while the same pairing cards promote aces to the TOP two pair",
   "lhs": "AK improve-outs vs the region Tyler weighs (s423)",
   "op": "\u2248",
   "rhs": "3 of 44 \u2248 7%",
   "source": "spoken s432 (aired); card math on the read board 2c 5s 6h Kd"
  },
  {
   "text": "start-stack identities anchoring every amount",
   "lhs": "Tyler 84.92 + 10.9 + 1.68 + 2.5",
   "op": "=",
   "rhs": "100.00 exactly (also resolves the row's rounded 'B11' to the felt's 10.9); SB 46.74 + 27 + 1.68 + 2.5 = 77.92",
   "source": "plates t=2795/t=2905; row t=2425"
  },
  {
   "text": "the in-game result the feedback narrates: Tyler folded and grades the fold wrong",
   "lhs": "played action",
   "op": "=",
   "rhs": "FOLD",
   "source": "row tail 'F' (t=2425); 'FOLD / MP1 84.92' plate (t=2905); s431 'I didn't consider that when I was making the play'; s365 'I've fallen for it twice now with aces'"
  }
 ],
 "unverifiable_claims": [
  "Tyler's ~15 (aces) and ~7 (ace-king) are his spoken at-the-table estimates against the region he enumerates, not solver output; our card math brackets both (pure-two-pair AA \u2248 18%, sets pull it down; AK \u2248 3 outs) and the fixture cites them as HIS numbers.",
  "The ~14.6% threshold assumes the 46.74 behind goes in when the suck-out card lands; Tyler asserts the payoff direction ('you will suck out on 2 pair occasionally', 'enough') without quantifying it, and himself calls the call 'really close' (s424) \u2014 the quiz presents it as close, not free.",
  "'REC' is Tyler's stated in-game read on this opponent (s393), not verifiable account data.",
  "The hand-list row prints the turn bet as 'B11' while the paused felt prints 10.9; resolved to 10.9 by the exact 100.00 start-stack identity \u2014 the row evidently rounds double-digit amounts (its sub-10 amounts keep decimals).",
  "The replayer's pot boxes (8.95 / 46.85) sit 0.41 BB under the chip-sum pots (9.36 / 47.26); read as its rake-net pot display. The fixture displays chip sums; the price difference is 25.4% vs the readout's 25.6%.",
  "Preflop fold order for MP2/CO/BTN is the standard reading of the row 'R2.5 C2' with all three plates untouched; the row does not print individual fold order."
 ],
 "cosmetic_invention": [
  "Ghoul avatars (lono_ghoul hero; ghoul_4193/2046/2059/3826/1211) \u2014 art only; the room shows 'Tyler' and anonymous seats.",
  "The villain's display name 'REC' \u2014 the rendered label for Tyler's tape-stated read (s393 'I knew he was a rec'); the felt prints only 'SB'.",
  "Position labels UTG and HJ \u2014 the felt prints 'MP1' and 'MP2' (Hand2Note's tags for the first two seats of a 6-handed table); relabelled to the site's 6-max names. CO/BTN/SB/BB are printed on the plates as-is.",
  "NOTHING else is invented: the 6-handed structure, cards and suits (4-colour scheme), every size, every stack, the action order and the fold-to-the-decision are the pixels' and the row's own. The v1 fixture's inverted board (K\u26666\u26635\u2666 flop + invented 4\u2663 turn), BTN-hero-vs-BB geometry, A\u2660A\u2665 hero cards, 4-into-5.5 and 10-into-13.5 sizings, 32 raise, 83.5/61.5 stacks and 'REG' villain are all removed."
 ],
 "decision": {
  "pot_settled_bb": 9.36,
  "bets": {
   "hero": 10.9,
   "SB": 27
  }
 }
}