{
  "schema_version": "1.3",
  "rebuild": "v2",
  "provenance_class": "dealt_hand",
  "table_size": 8,
  "id": "akk-3way-sixhigh-check-not-overbet",
  "format": "multi_option",
  "free": true,
  "updated_at": "2026-08-08T00:00:00Z",
  "source": {
    "session_id": "2025-11-20",
    "verdict_audio": "quiz/audio/akk-3way-sixhigh-check-not-overbet.m4a",
    "verdict_beats": "s559 (t=2556.48-2560.60, w6339-6355) + s601-s603 (t=2779.08-2787.40, w6950-6983), all spk=tyler, spk_confident, every word conf >= 0.71. RE-CUT 2026-08-08 (this rebuild): the old s559+s580 splice aired 'you just check to the river and then you bet' — a plan for a street the fixture's decision node (hero's flop turn) never renders, which validator I4 bars on v2 rebuilds. The dropped river-plan beat is preserved in hand_record.spoken_facts and disclosed in unverifiable_claims; the new second beat is the no-value-range mechanism Tyler speaks over this same felt (s601-603). Echo proof 2026-08-08: faster-whisper small.en re-ASR of the new 13.39s m4a returns both beats verbatim — see aired_transcript. At the first verdict word (s559 t0=2556.48) the paused VLC replay of the student's live session shows THIS hand's flop decision (own frame t=2557). Old clip backed up to scratchpad dh2/akk-3way-sixhigh-check-not-overbet/old_audio_backup.m4a.",
    "lesson_slug": "multiway-mdf-why-bet-sizes-must-shrink-with-more-players",
    "lesson_t": 765.5,
    "master_slug": "2025-11-20_master",
    "master_t": 2199.4,
    "src_t": 2556.5,
    "hand_record": {
      "lane": "LIVE-TABLE",
      "played": "The student's own hand, replayed on tape: Tyler reviews a VLC screen recording of the student's live session ('2025-11-09 20-56-43.mp4 - VLC media player', timeline 43:26 / 3:16:32 at t=2557) showing a ClubWPT GOLD ring-game client, paused on this exact spot. The hand is FIRST discussed at t=1136-1180 (s252 'All right, so we've got five six of diamonds here'; the student at s255: 'Oh, I over bet here don't I') and Tyler RETURNS to it for the multiway verdict at t=2450-2830. No replayer or action log exists — the frame sequence is the log.",
      "hand_id": "none on screen — the client shows no hand number; identity anchors are the table name 'HL5450' (title bar), the seat map and the chip-exact stack continuity across both review windows (see identity_corroborations)",
      "stake": {
        "structure": "0.20/0.50 blinds, 1.00 UTG straddle, 0.20 ante from all 8 players, currency 'CHIPS'",
        "source": "title bar verbatim 'Ring Game (NLHE) | 0.20/0.50/1 (0.20) CHIPS | HL5450' — own frame own/f_2557.jpg (t=2557), re-read at t=1140 and t=2790 (blinds badge '0.20/0.50/1 (0.20)'). No dollar value exists anywhere on screen for these CHIPS; no $ figure ships anywhere in this fixture.",
        "usd_per_bb": null,
        "display_conversion": "1 bb = 0.50 CHIPS (the posted big blind, title bar). All displayed bb = chips / 0.50, rounded to 0.1 bb (max drift 0.04 bb: 205.29 -> 410.6, 124.87 -> 249.7). The 1.00 straddle = 2 bb; the 0.20 ante = 0.4 bb."
      },
      "frames": [
        "t=1136/1140/1148 (own/f_1136.jpg, f_1140.jpg, f_1148.jpg + z_table_1140.png) — preflop, mid-action: SbetU tagged SB with 0.20 out, WansG023 tagged BB with 0.50 out, Mosluleo tagged STRADDLE with 1 out (stack 187.10), hero 'KICKIT LIPA20' tagged RAISE with 2.50 out (stack 205.29), PR Pirate420 tagged CALL with 2.50 out (stack 124.87), SillyMango on the 13s action timer (163.17), dealer disc on Big Blue (93.60), Rfy (200.04) already cardless = folded, POT: 8.30, felt logo ClubWPT GOLD",
        "t=2557 (own/f_2557.jpg + z_table.png, z_title.png, z_board.png, z_hero.png) — THE VERDICT ANCHOR (s559 t0=2556.48): flop A(spade) K(spade) K(diamond) — two black spade-pip cards + one blue diamond-pip K (4-colour deck), POT: 9.80, hero holds 5(diamond) 6(diamond) both blue, stacks hero 205.29 / Mosluleo 185.60 (on the 13s timer) / PR Pirate420 124.87; only those three still have cards — Big Blue, SbetU, WansG023, SillyMango, Rfy cardless = folded; hero's pre-action buttons read Check/Fold | Check",
        "t=2790 (own/f_2790.jpg + z_table_2790.png) — THE DECISION NODE: Mosluleo now carries a CHECK tag, hero's timer runs (14), hero's live action bar 'Fold / Check / Bet 1' with 33% | 50% | 75% | All-in presets, POT: 9.80, same board, same stacks",
        "t=2800 (own/f_2800.jpg + z_table_2800.png) — turn 7(club) animating in, POT: 41.30, stacks hero 194.79 / Pirate420 114.37 / Mosluleo 175.10: all three put exactly 10.50 in on the flop",
        "t=2806 (own/f_2806.jpg + z_table_2806.png) — turn node: Mosluleo tagged CHECK, hero's timer runs (8), POT: 41.30",
        "t=2812 (own/f_2812.jpg + z_table_2812.png) — river 4(heart) dealt, POT still 41.30 (turn checked through), Mosluleo on the river timer",
        "t=2815/2828 (own/f_2815.jpg, f_2828.jpg) — hand over: POT: 71.30, 'Reveal Hands' button, Mosluleo 145.10 (bet 30 on the river, uncalled), hero 194.79 and Pirate420 114.37 unchanged (both folded)"
      ],
      "live_sequence_reconciliation": "Preflop: 3 x 2.50 + 0.20 SB + 0.50 BB + 8 x 0.20 ante = 9.80 = the felt POT on every flop frame (exact to the cent; also pins the 8-seat ante count). Mid-preflop frame t=1140: 0.20 + 0.50 + 1.00 + 2.50 + 2.50 + 1.60 = 8.30 = displayed POT, and Mosluleo 187.10 -> 185.60 across his 1.50 completion. Flop: 9.80 + 3 x 10.50 = 41.30 = the turn-deal POT (t=2800), stack deltas 205.29->194.79, 124.87->114.37, 185.60->175.10 all exactly -10.50. Turn: no stack moves, POT unchanged (t=2806->2812). River: 41.30 + 30 = 71.30 displayed with Mosluleo -30 and no callers. Every displayed number reconciles to 0.00 chips.",
      "action_reconstructed": "Preflop: Mosluleo (UTG) posts the 1.00 straddle; Rfy (UTG+1) folds; hero (MP, 'KICKIT LIPA20') raises to 2.50 (2.5x the straddle); PR Pirate420 (HJ) calls 2.50; SillyMango (CO) folds; Big Blue (BTN) folds; SbetU (SB) folds; WansG023 (BB) folds; Mosluleo completes to 2.50. Flop A(s)K(s)K(d): Mosluleo checks -> HERO'S DECISION (the quiz node; Tyler's verdict = check). In game the student bet 10.50 (107% of the 9.80 pot, s255 'I over bet here don't I'); both called (s609 'both of them just called'). Turn 7(c): checks through. River 4(h): Mosluleo bet 30, both folded.",
      "seat_map": "8 seated, physical clockwise from hero at bottom: hero KICKIT LIPA20 (MP, 205.29) -> PR Pirate420 (HJ, 124.87) -> SillyMango (CO, 163.17) -> Big Blue (BTN, 93.60, dealer disc) -> SbetU (SB, 135.71) -> WansG023 (BB, 88.20) -> Mosluleo (UTG straddler, 185.60 at the node) -> Rfy (UTG+1, 200.04). Real usernames live only here; the felt ships ghoul avatars and position labels.",
      "identity_corroborations": [
        "spoken cards <-> pixels: s252 'five six of diamonds' (t=1136.04, spoken as the review window opens) matches the hero's blue 5-6 diamond cards in the same second's frame (t=1136) and again at the verdict window (t=2557, t=2790)",
        "spoken board <-> pixels: s596 'an ace king king board' + s585 'we've got six high' + s599 'this board texture with six five' match A(s)K(s)K(d) under 5d6d",
        "spoken action shape <-> pixel deltas: student s255 'I over bet here don't I' + Tyler s609 'both of them just called' match the 10.50-into-9.80 flop bet (107%) and the two -10.50 calls read from stacks at t=2800",
        "same-table continuity: title bar 'HL5450' and chip-identical stacks (205.29/124.87/185.60) across the t=1136-1180 and t=2450-2830 windows — one hand, revisited"
      ],
      "spoken_facts": [
        {"fact": "hero holds five-six of diamonds", "sids": [252], "second_instance": "s599 'this board texture with six five'; pixels t=1136/2557"},
        {"fact": "board is ace-king-king; hero has six high", "sids": [596, 585], "second_instance": "s599 + pixels t=2557/2790"},
        {"fact": "half-pot or full-pot lets both callers tighten to top-30%-ish defenses", "sids": [544]},
        {"fact": "each caller has a king about 10% of the time and those are guaranteed calls", "sids": [548, 550, 551]},
        {"fact": "for a big bet to work they must fold ace-x or flush draws — unlikely natural holdings to fold", "sids": [552, 553, 554]},
        {"fact": "if you bet this combo, bet an irritating ~20%-of-pot sizing at their pocket pairs", "sids": [556, 558]},
        {"fact": "THE RULING (aired beat 1): truthfully, 100% honest, it's probably a check", "sids": [559]},
        {"fact": "the plan behind the check (NOT airable under I4 — names the river): check to the river and bet, three-way they always over-fold; direction only, no magnitude spoken", "sids": [562, 563, 564, 580, 581, 582, 583]},
        {"fact": "mashing pot / front-door violence isn't effective; nobody folds a king", "sids": [576, 578]},
        {"fact": "only ace-king / aces could bet pot and both prefer to trap — with six-five there is no value range (aired beats 2-4: 'if I bet pot here I'm really repping a very thin range / these guys don't have to call me much / let's just not do that')", "sids": [596, 597, 598, 599, 600, 601, 602, 603]},
        {"fact": "result talk: both called the overbet ('disaster over call spots'); Tyler guesses ace-jack and a king at showdown", "sids": [609, 610, 612, 614, 615]}
      ],
      "hud_reads": [],
      "provenance_note": "The 'FoldValueswithIgnitionMDA.xlsx' Excel grid (multiway fold frequencies by bet size) appears on screen only AFTER the verdict (t=2718, 54s after s580) — the felt at both verdict anchors is this dealt hand, not the aggregate report. The report supplies Tyler's directional 'ream of data / they always over fold' claim; its magnitudes are the gated edge and none are displayed or aired (rule 7)."
    }
  },
  "context": "8-MAX CHIPS RING · 0.20/0.50 + 1.00 STRADDLE + 0.20 ANTES · SHOWN IN BB",
  "hero": {
    "pos": "MP",
    "cards": [
      "5d",
      "6d"
    ],
    "stack_bb": 410.6,
    "avatar": "lono_ghoul"
  },
  "seats": [
    {
      "pos": "HJ",
      "avatar": "ghoul_2668",
      "stack_bb": 249.7
    },
    {
      "pos": "CO",
      "avatar": "ghoul_3471",
      "folded": true
    },
    {
      "pos": "BTN",
      "avatar": "ghoul_3554",
      "folded": true,
      "button": true
    },
    {
      "pos": "SB",
      "avatar": "ghoul_1288",
      "folded": true
    },
    {
      "pos": "BB",
      "avatar": "ghoul_242",
      "folded": true
    },
    {
      "pos": "UTG",
      "avatar": "ghoul_3193",
      "stack_bb": 371.2,
      "villain": true
    },
    {
      "pos": "UTG1",
      "avatar": "ghoul_3160",
      "folded": true
    }
  ],
  "streets": [
    {
      "name": "preflop",
      "actions": [
        {
          "pos": "UTG",
          "act": "raise",
          "to_bb": 2
        },
        {
          "pos": "UTG1",
          "act": "fold"
        },
        {
          "pos": "hero",
          "act": "raise",
          "to_bb": 5
        },
        {
          "pos": "HJ",
          "act": "call"
        },
        {
          "pos": "CO",
          "act": "fold"
        },
        {
          "pos": "BTN",
          "act": "fold"
        },
        {
          "pos": "SB",
          "act": "fold"
        },
        {
          "pos": "BB",
          "act": "fold"
        },
        {
          "pos": "UTG",
          "act": "call"
        }
      ],
      "pot_bb": 19.6
    },
    {
      "name": "flop",
      "board": [
        "As",
        "Ks",
        "Kd"
      ],
      "actions": [
        {
          "pos": "UTG",
          "act": "check"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "prompt": "5♦6♦ · SIX-HIGH, 3-WAY ON A♠K♠K♦ · THE STRADDLER CHECKS — OVERBET, BET SMALL, OR CHECK?",
  "options": [
    {
      "id": "overbet",
      "label": "OVERBET"
    },
    {
      "id": "small",
      "label": "BET SMALL"
    },
    {
      "id": "check",
      "label": "CHECK"
    }
  ],
  "correct": "check",
  "option_feedback": {
    "overbet": "What the student actually did — the 21 bb overbet went in and both callers just called. Tyler calls these disaster over-call spots: nobody folds an ace or a king here, so they'd have to start folding ace-x or flush draws for the big bet to make sense, and with six-high you're repping a value range that barely exists.",
    "small": "The one bet Tyler entertains: an irritating sizing, around 20% of pot, aimed at their pocket pairs. But it's his second choice — being truthful about six-high on this board, his answer is the check.",
    "check": "Correct — truthfully, it's probably a check. Betting big three-way reps maybe ace-king and aces, and both of those prefer to trap; meanwhile each caller holds a king about 10% of the time and those never fold. Check, and take the pot on a later street — once a pot this multiway has checked down, the late bet gets big over-folds."
  },
  "verdict_text": "And truthfully, if I was going to be one hundred percent honest, I think it's probably a check. It turns out that if I bet — if I bet pot here, I'm really repping a very thin range. These guys don't have to call me much. Let's just not do that.",
  "aired_transcript": "And truthfully, if I was going to be 100% honest, I think it's probably a check. It turns out that if I bet, you know, if I bet pot here, I'm really wrapping a very thin range, these guys don't have to call me much. Let's just not do that.",
  "aired_transcript_note": "Verbatim small.en re-ASR of quiz/audio/akk-3way-sixhigh-check-not-overbet.m4a (13.39s, beats s559 + s601-603, cut + re-ASR'd 2026-08-08). 'wrapping' = 'repping' (the same ASR variant appears in the SER source sentence; every source word conf >= 0.71). No cards, no board, no positions, no bet sizes, no street beyond the rendered flop, and no population figures are aired; the only percent is the idiom '100% honest' about Tyler himself.",
  "principle": "With air in a three-way pot on a board nobody folds, don't bluff into two callers — check, and save the bluff for when the pot has checked down: multiway fields over-fold the late bet.",
  "pct_provenance": {
    "10": {
      "role": "tape_single_hand",
      "referent": "Tyler's live combinatoric estimate that EACH of the two flop callers holds a king about 10% of the time at this node — his 'guaranteed to call' floor for a flop bet. Range math about this spot, not a database frequency.",
      "source": "SER 2025-11-20 s548 ('each one of these guys has a king about 10% of the time') + s550-551 ('you're guaranteed to call from this guy 10%', said of each)"
    },
    "20": {
      "role": "tape_single_hand",
      "referent": "Tyler's suggested alternative sizing IF hero bets at all: 'an irritating sizing where, you know, you bet 20% of pot or something' — a proposed bet size for this hand, never made in game.",
      "source": "SER 2025-11-20 s556 + s558 ('try to put max pressure on their pocket pairs')"
    }
  },
  "size_claims": {
    "overbet": {
      "street": "flop",
      "actor": "hero",
      "pct_of_pot": 107.1,
      "note": "Option label + id word. Referent: the bet the student actually made at this node in game — 10.50 CHIPS (21 bb) into the 9.80 CHIPS (19.6 bb) pot = 107% — which Tyler's check verdict overrules. It happens AFTER the decision point, so it is not rendered in streets; option_feedback.overbet narrates it as the played outcome.",
      "source": "own frames t=2790 -> t=2800 (POT 9.80 -> 41.30; hero 205.29 -> 194.79, both callers -10.50); student s255 'I over bet here don't I'"
    },
    "small": {
      "street": "flop",
      "actor": "hero",
      "pct_of_pot": 20.0,
      "note": "Option label 'BET SMALL' + the 20%-of-pot figure in option_feedback.small. Referent: Tyler's suggested irritating sizing (hypothetical — never made in game).",
      "source": "SER 2025-11-20 s556 'you bet 20% of pot or something'"
    }
  },
  "claims": [
    {
      "text": "the 21 bb overbet went in and both callers just called",
      "lhs": "student's actual flop bet and the two calls",
      "op": "=",
      "rhs": "10.50 CHIPS = 21 bb into the 9.80 CHIPS (19.6 bb) settled pot (107% of pot); both callers' stacks drop exactly 10.50",
      "source": "own frames t=2790/t=2800 (POT 9.80 -> 41.30 = 9.80 + 3 x 10.50; 205.29->194.79, 124.87->114.37, 185.60->175.10); s255, s609"
    },
    {
      "text": "each caller holds a king about 10% of the time and those never fold",
      "lhs": "per-caller king frequency at this node (Tyler's live estimate)",
      "op": "~",
      "rhs": "10% each, 'guaranteed' calls; 'no one's folding a king'",
      "source": "SER s548, s550-551, s576, s609 ('algorithms in their head that basically say don't fold aces don't fold kings')"
    },
    {
      "text": "around 20% of pot — Tyler's alternative sizing if hero bets",
      "lhs": "suggested irritating sizing",
      "op": "=",
      "rhs": "20% of the 19.6 bb pot (~3.9 bb) at their pocket pairs — proposed, never made",
      "source": "SER s556, s558"
    },
    {
      "text": "preflop: open = 5 bb = 2.5 straddles",
      "lhs": "hero's raise to 2.50 CHIPS over the 1.00 straddle",
      "op": "=",
      "rhs": "5 bb at 0.50 CHIPS/bb (RAISE 2.50 chip, t=1140); the two calls match it exactly",
      "source": "own frame t=1140 + title bar stake '0.20/0.50/1 (0.20) CHIPS'"
    },
    {
      "text": "flop pot 19.6 bb",
      "lhs": "felt POT at the decision",
      "op": "=",
      "rhs": "9.80 CHIPS = 3 x 2.50 + 0.20 SB + 0.50 BB + 8 x 0.20 ante, = 19.6 bb",
      "source": "own frames t=2557/t=2790 (POT: 9.80) + the cent-exact reconciliation in hand_record"
    }
  ],
  "unverifiable_claims": [
    "Tyler's check-then-bluff plan — 'you just check to the river and then you bet... three-way and they always over fold' (s580, also s562-564, s581-583) — is the second half of his mechanism, but it names a street beyond the rendered decision node, which validator I4 bars from displayed/aired surfaces on v2 rebuilds. It is paraphrased street-free in option_feedback.check and principle ('take the pot on a later street / once it has checked down'), the aired clip was re-cut to drop it, and the full spoken form is preserved in hand_record.spoken_facts. Flagged for chair review as a possible I4 false-positive class (a conditional PLAN for a future street vs narration of an unreached street).",
    "The over-fold claim is directional only — Tyler quantifies it nowhere at this node ('always', 'substantially'); the measured multiway fold values live in the FoldValueswithIgnitionMDA.xlsx grid that appears only after the verdict and are gated per rule 7.",
    "Tyler's showdown reads — 'I think he had ace-jack. I think this guy had a king' (s614-615) — are spoken guesses; 'Reveal Hands' was never clicked on the recording, so no card pixels corroborate them. Recorded, not displayed.",
    "The bottom-left client widget 'HANDS 1.9.4.259060944' may encode a hand/client id but is not legible enough to transcribe with confidence; identity rests on the corroborations listed in hand_record instead."
  ],
  "cosmetic_invention": [
    "The felt engine has no straddle verb, so Mosluleo's 1.00 straddle renders as 'UTG raises to 2' — the amount is exact (1.00 CHIPS = 2 bb) and a straddle IS a blind raise to 2 bb; the context line and prompt name him THE STRADDLER.",
    "The engine hard-posts SB 0.5 bb / BB 1 bb; the real small blind posted 0.20 CHIPS = 0.4 bb, so the SB pill overstates his post by 0.1 bb. The eight 0.4 bb antes (3.2 bb) cannot be rendered as chips at all. Both are carried by the pixel-true street pot instead: the preflop row and the flop felt show the REAL 19.6 bb (9.80 CHIPS) pot. Because the engine's action-sum (16.5 bb) cannot equal the true ante-fed pot, the optional engine-math fields (top-level pot_bb, decision) are omitted rather than shipping a false 16.5 — the displayed pot is the felt's own 19.6.",
    "Ghoul avatars on all seats (lono_ghoul hero) — art only; real usernames live in hand_record.seat_map and never ship. The villain flag on UTG is a presentation choice (the checker whose action opens hero's decision); Tyler states no read on either live opponent, so the old fixture's invented 'STATION'/'CALLER' name tags are removed.",
    "NOT cosmetic: the 8-max ring and every position, hero's exact cards 5♦6♦ (spoken s252, pixel-read twice), the two-spade board A♠K♠K♦ (pixel-read; load-bearing — Tyler's 'they're going to have to fold flush draws' at s552 requires the spade draw to exist; the old fixture's rainbow As-Kh-Kc is corrected), the straddle+ante structure, the 5 bb open and both calls, the stacks at the decision (410.6 / 371.2 / 249.7 bb) and the 19.6 bb pot — all pixel-read from the live-table recording."
  ],
  "concept": "multiway-bluff-timing",
  "concepts_secondary": [],
  "topic": "multiway-pots",
  "difficulty": 4
}