{
  "schema_version": "1.3",
  "rebuild": "v2",
  "provenance_class": "model_spot",
  "table_size": 6,
  "id": "bet-fold-aces-king74-vs-tag",
  "format": "call_fold",
  "free": true,
  "updated_at": "2026-08-08T00:00:00Z",
  "source": {
    "session_id": "DealingwithIPandSBTagCallers",
    "verdict_audio": "quiz/audio/bet-fold-aces-king74-vs-tag.m4a",
    "lesson_slug": null,
    "solver_node": {
      "tool": "PioSOLVER-edge 2.0.8 / PioViewer 2.0.7.21",
      "file": "unsaved - the PioViewer title bar reads 'Unnamed' throughout t=4805-4880; tree template is the builder's saved config folder '100bb > 2bpot-full+airiver' (t=3180)",
      "node": "r:0:b198:b716 - flop: OOP bets 198 (33%), IP raises to 716 (52%). Hero = OOP. Read off the action bar of the deeper node r:0:b198:b716:c:9c:c:b2887 that was open on screen ('Root | BET 198 (33%) | RAISE 716 (52%) | CALL | 9c | CHECK | BET 2171 (106.8%) | RAISE 5485 (52%) / CALL / FOLD').",
      "video_t": [
        4805,
        4810,
        4860,
        4880
      ],
      "board": "Kd 7h 4c",
      "pot_chips": 600,
      "stacks_chips": 9700,
      "chips_per_bb": 100,
      "bet_chips": 198,
      "raise_to_chips": 716,
      "to_call_chips": 518,
      "facing_pot_chips": 1514,
      "board_at_read": "Kd 7h 4c 9c at t=4810-4880 (the on-screen node had run one street past this decision); at t=4805 the split node r:0:b198:b716:c shows board Kd 7h 4c with the turn selector open. The quiz stops at the flop node on the same path",
      "hero_seat": "OOP - the flop bettor (PioViewer labels the screen 'OOP Decision'); OOP's grid is a full opening range (all pairs, A2s-AKs, suited broadways, AKo-ATo) at t=4820",
      "villain_seat": "IP - the in-position caller. A solver RANGE, not a person; the felt seat is deliberately unnamed",
      "chips_per_bb_source": "PioSOLVER accuracy panel, frame t=3180: '1 bb / 100 hands, bb = [100]'; corroborated by the config folder '100bb' and 10000 - 9700 = 300 posted per player",
      "node_header_source": "frame t=4805: Split Node r:0:b198:b716:c prints 'Pot: 716 716 600 (2032) Starting Stacks: 9700' with board Kd 7h 4c - pot 600 and stacks 9700 are read off the solved build's own node header, not only the t=3180 builder; the deeper node at t=4810/4880 prints 'Pot: 716 2887 600 (4203) Starting Stacks: 9700'",
      "template_video_t": 3180,
      "template_source": "tree builder at t=3180 (frame f_3180.jpg): Board 'Ks 7d 4c', Starting Pot 600, Effective Stacks 9700, all-in threshold 67%",
      "dead_blinds_modelled": false,
      "dead_blinds_note": "the sim's 600 pot is 300 + 300 with 9700 behind - folded blind money is NOT in the model. The felt therefore stages a 2.25bb open (1.5 dead blinds + 2.25 + 2.25 = 6.0) so the felt's own arithmetic lands on the node's real 600-chip pot instead of back-deriving the bets to a 6.5bb pot.",
      "arithmetic_checks": "33% of 600 = 198; 52% raise-to = 198 + 0.52*(600+198+198) = 716; flop closes at 600+716+716 = 2032, which is exactly the pot the on-screen turn label 'BET 2171 (106.8%)' is a percentage of; the header 'Pot: 716 2887 600 (4203)' = OOP total 716 + IP total 2887 + starting pot 600.",
      "solve_state": "solved (per-combo EVs rendered in the 13x13 grid at t=4810-4905)"
    }
  },
  "context": "PIOSOLVER SPOT \u00b7 CO vs A TAG-ISH BTN CALLER \u00b7 99.25BB START, 97BB ON THE FLOP",
  "hero": {
    "pos": "CO",
    "cards": [
      "As",
      "Ah"
    ],
    "stack_bb": 95.02,
    "avatar": "lono_ghoul"
  },
  "seats": [
    {
      "pos": "BTN",
      "avatar": "ghoul_707",
      "stack_bb": 89.84,
      "villain": true,
      "button": true
    },
    {
      "pos": "SB",
      "avatar": "ghoul_4518",
      "folded": true
    },
    {
      "pos": "BB",
      "avatar": "ghoul_2041",
      "folded": true
    },
    {
      "pos": "UTG",
      "avatar": "ghoul_2314",
      "folded": true
    },
    {
      "pos": "HJ",
      "avatar": "ghoul_2381",
      "folded": true
    }
  ],
  "streets": [
    {
      "name": "preflop",
      "actions": [
        {
          "pos": "UTG",
          "act": "fold"
        },
        {
          "pos": "HJ",
          "act": "fold"
        },
        {
          "pos": "hero",
          "act": "open",
          "to_bb": 2.25
        },
        {
          "pos": "BTN",
          "act": "call"
        },
        {
          "pos": "SB",
          "act": "fold"
        },
        {
          "pos": "BB",
          "act": "fold"
        }
      ],
      "pot_bb": 6.0
    },
    {
      "name": "flop",
      "board": [
        "Kd",
        "7h",
        "4c"
      ],
      "actions": [
        {
          "pos": "hero",
          "act": "bet",
          "to_bb": 1.98
        },
        {
          "pos": "BTN",
          "act": "raise",
          "to_bb": 7.16
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "prompt": "A\u2660A\u2665 \u00b7 A TAG-ISH CALLER RAISES YOUR ONE-THIRD-POT C-BET ON K-7-4 \u2014 CALL OR FOLD?",
  "pot_bb": 15.14,
  "options": [
    {
      "id": "call",
      "label": "CALL"
    },
    {
      "id": "fold",
      "label": "FOLD"
    }
  ],
  "correct": "fold",
  "option_feedback": {
    "call": "The price is tempting \u2014 5.2bb to win a 20.3bb pot, so only about a quarter of his raises need to be bluffs for the call to break even. The fold is the read, not the math: a tag-ish caller's raising region on K-7-4 is sets and two pair, and he doesn't find anywhere near a quarter bluffs.",
    "fold": "Correct \u2014 bet one-third pot and fold to the raise. It's an exploit keyed to the opponent class, not a baseline ruling: Tyler flags the baseline math as 'against the overall pool \u2014 this isn't against tags', and a tag-ish caller's raising region here is sets and two pair."
  },
  "verdict_text": "You can roughly bet-fold aces in those spots against tags \u2014 because remember, this is against the overall pool. This isn't against tags. So anybody who looks tag-ish in these spots, you should basically just click-fold against.",
  "verdict_span": [
    {
      "sentences": [
        689,
        690
      ],
      "video_t": [
        3234.1,
        3244.0
      ],
      "spoken_over": "the tag-caller range-composition segment (the surrounding talk, s695/s703, is about BUTTON flatters). On screen during the span: the PokerTracker replayer with Tyler's notes panel (frames t=3234, t=3240), then by t=3244 the 'Range Explorer - Root' of the UNSOLVED Ks 7d 4c tree built at t=3180 - root still uniform 50/50 (BET 65% 66.7 combos / CHECK 66.7 combos), the caller's 133.4-combo range sitting in the OOP slot. A range-composition read, never a solve; it carries no analytic weight. The ruling Tyler states is position-agnostic ('in those spots against tags')."
    },
    {
      "sentences": [
        999,
        1000
      ],
      "video_t": [
        4879.3,
        4884.6
      ],
      "spoken_over": "the solved build this fixture is anchored to, one street past this decision (node r:0:b198:b716:c:9c:c:b2887), 27 minutes later in the session."
    }
  ],
  "principle": "On a dry king-high board, bet your overpair at 33% of pot \u2014 and against a tag-ish caller, fold to the raise: his raising region is sets and two pair, so there's nothing to catch.",
  "pct_provenance": {
    "33": {
      "role": "sizing",
      "referent": "hero's flop c-bet at node r:0:b198 - 198 chips into the 600-chip starting pot; the label 'BET 198 (33%)' is printed by PioViewer in the action bar of the open node",
      "source": "frame t=4880 (action bar); corroborated by Eric on tape, SER s982 t=4800.4 'that's why you reverted back to your like mostly one-third pot c-bet line'"
    }
  },
  "size_claims": {
    "one-third pot": {
      "street": "flop",
      "actor": "hero",
      "bet_bb": 1.98,
      "prior_pot_bb": 6.0,
      "pct_of_pot": 33.0,
      "source": "node r:0:b198 - PioViewer prints 'BET 198 (33%)'; 198/600 = 33.0% (frame t=4880)"
    }
  },
  "cosmetic_invention": [
    "Table seats CO (hero) and BTN (villain): the node knows only OOP and IP. BTN for the in-position caller is tape-supported (SER s695 Eric 'the average tag is flatting pocket pairs on the button a lot'; s703 Tyler 'on button calls pick pocket pairs'); CO for the opener is an arbitrary earlier seat. No spoken fact depends on it.",
    "Preflop skeleton (UTG/HJ fold, hero opens 2.25bb, BTN calls, blinds fold). The sim does not model dead blind money (600 = 300 + 300, 9700 behind), so the open is staged at 2.25bb to make the felt's own arithmetic settle on the node's real 600-chip pot. Nobody was dealt this; the open size is not a Tyler number.",
    "Implied felt starting depth 99.25bb: the node's 9700 effective is measured AT the flop, so a felt that shows a 2.25bb preflop investment must start 2.25bb above it. From the flop onward every displayed figure is the node's.",
    "Hero combo A\u2660A\u2665 and the suits of the board rendering: the flop is rainbow in the sim (Kd 7h 4c) and Tyler's analysis is never combo-specific (he says 'aces', never 'without a spade'), so no blocker or suit claim rides on it.",
    "Villain seat carries no nameplate, persona, or history: a solver seat is a RANGE. The tag-ish read appears pre-answer in context/prompt as the STIPULATED PREMISE of the question (coherence gate 2026-08-07: the graded exploit conditions on the opponent class, so withholding the read until feedback made CALL the correct answer to the question as displayed). It is a population read in prose - Tyler's own conditional, s999 'anybody who looks tag-ish in these spots' - not an invented biography of a specific opponent."
  ],
  "concept": "bet-fold-overpair-vs-tag",
  "concepts_secondary": [],
  "topic": "flop-strategy",
  "difficulty": 4,
  "decision": {
    "pot_settled_bb": 6.0,
    "bets": {
      "hero": 1.98,
      "BTN": 7.16
    }
  }
}