{ "schema_version": "1.3", "rebuild": "v2", "provenance_class": "dealt_hand", "table_size": 6, "id": "fold-two-pair-counterfeited", "format": "call_fold", "free": true, "updated_at": "2026-08-08T00:00:00Z", "source": { "session_id": "RiverCalls", "verdict_audio": "quiz/audio/fold-two-pair-counterfeited.m4a", "ser_sentences": [206, 212, 213, 214, 216], "verdict_beats": "RE-CUT 2026-08-08 (dealt_hand rebuild v2). Old cut [w4638-4671]+[w4749-4772] spanned the 5.2 s pause inside s212-s214 (1853.38-1858.57, no SER words) and the shipped clip carried an un-SER'd mumble there — re-ASR of the OLD m4a returned 'That's the back Yeah' mid-clip. New cut, four beats, all Tyler spk_confident: b1 w4638-4671 (s206 mid, t=1783.31-1796.91, the jam-range roll-out, first word spoken over the PT replayer's river frame f_1783); b2 w4749-4765 (s212 tail + s213, 1847.90-1853.38, 'really this is what you need to know how much equity do i have on this river' — the 0.12 s head handle rides the tail of w4748 'because', which re-ASRs as a natural connective); b3 w4766-4772 (s214 head, 1858.57-1860.93, 'that's kind of best case scenario 25' — cut at w4772 so s214's trailing garble w4773 'i' conf .018 never airs); b4 w4786-4789 (s216 head, 1873.71-1874.79, 'is kind of expensive' — Tyler's price judgment on the 25; its connective w4785 'which' is followed by 3.65 s of dead air and is not cut, and re-ASR of the assembled clip interpolates 'which' at the splice, reconstructing Tyler's own take-2 sentence s215-s216 'the best case scenario is 25 which / is kind of expensive'). Echo-checked 2026-08-08 (faster-whisper small.en) on the shipped 24.77 s m4a — re-ASR matches aired_transcript verbatim; no foreign sentences, no Eric, no population magnitude aired ('24 percent' at w4739-4740 is NOT in any beat; the aired '25' is single-hand equity). Known ASR fuzz on the shipped clip, checked against the source words: 'jacked hands / jacked in a diamonds' = w4663-4671 'jack ten … jack ten of diamonds' (conf .60-.99 — the audio says jack-ten), and beat 2's closing word w4765 'river' airs (inside the cut span, 1853.08-1853.38) but small.en absorbs it into 'on this?'. Beats registered in tools/cut_quiz_audio.py.", "lesson_slug": null, "master_slug": "RiverCalls_master", "master_t": 1370.2, "hand_record": { "lane": "REPLAYER", "site": "Ignition, played back in PokerTracker 4 v4.15.34 (4-colour deck: blue=diamonds, red=hearts, grey=spades; 'Run It Once' watermark baked into the felt). Frames are pipeline-side evidence only and are never aired (operator branding lives in them).", "hand_id": "#4451970111", "hand_begins": "2023/04/14 1:01 am (log line 1; played April 2023, reviewed in the RiverCalls session)", "stake": { "source": "TITLE_BAR", "label": "$2 NL FAST (6 max)", "usd_per_bb": null, "note": "Title bar verbatim 'Playback for Ignition Hand #4451970111 - $2 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem' (own frames f_1680 and f_1783/f_1847 — two different timestamps). The replayer displays every amount natively in BB ('posts the small blind 0.50 BB', 'Hero bets 7.05 BB', 'Pot: 220.84 BB') and the fixture copies those BB figures verbatim — NO $-to-bb conversion was performed anywhere and no dollar figure ships." }, "video_t": [1676, 1878], "players": { "P1-f8cb11e16...": "SB, 267.01 BB behind at the decision (posted 0.50, folded pre)", "Hero": "BB, J♥ 9♥, 61.86 BB behind at the decision (started 99.99: 11 + 7.05 + 20.08 + 61.86)", "P3-d2d2e7b21...": "UTG, 116.10 BB (folded pre)", "P4-695c0e56c...": "HJ, 327.61 BB (folded pre)", "P5-55f0144cd...": "CO, 101.50 BB (folded pre; read from flop-state frame f_1680 — the Anki dialog covers this seat in the later frames)", "P6-2b0bf75a5d060d2eb252eb904b9c9f44": "BTN ('Seat 6 ... is the dealer', log line 2), 0 BB behind after the river jam (started 120.33: 11 + 7.05 + 20.08 + 82.20; covers hero)" }, "log_verbatim": [ "Ignition Hand #4451970111 begins at 2023/04/14 1:01 am", "Seat 6 (P6-2b0bf75a5d060d2eb252eb904b9c9f44) is the dealer", "P1-f8cb11e160e354c80cdbb61937135212d posts the small blind 0.50 BB", "Hero posts the big blind 1 BB", "P3-d2d2e7b21ba801d38fb805e2b6b59d2f folds", "P4-695c0e56c9f6f207575966bdf3d9a5fd folds", "P5-55f0144cd3fe2d7f718cd5efdd84f9ae folds", "P6-2b0bf75a5d060d2eb252eb904b9c9f44 raises to 2.50 BB", "P1-f8cb11e160e354c80cdbb61937135212d folds", "Hero raises to 11 BB", "P6-2b0bf75a5d060d2eb252eb904b9c9f44 calls 8.50 BB", "Flop: [8d 7h Kd]", "Hero bets 7.05 BB", "P6-2b0bf75a5d060d2eb252eb904b9c9f44 calls 7.05 BB", "Turn: [Kh]", "Hero bets 20.08 BB", "P6-2b0bf75a5d060d2eb252eb904b9c9f44 calls 20.08 BB", "River: [9s]", "Hero checks", "P6-2b0bf75a5d060d2eb252eb904b9c9f44 bets 82.20 BB", "Hero calls 61.86 BB" ], "felt_readings": { "river_state_f1783": "Pot: 220.84 BB (header); settled-pot chips 76.78 BB; villain river chips 82.20 BB with seat 'P6-2b0bf75a5... 0 BB' (the jam is his whole stack); hero call chips 61.86 BB with seat 'Hero 0 BB'; board 8♦7♥K♦K♥9♠ (4-colour faces agree with the log text).", "flop_state_f1680": "Pot: 36.61 BB (header); preflop settled 22.50 BB; flop chip labels read 7.06 BB against the log text's 7.05 BB.", "rounding_note": "The felt chip/pot labels carry a replayer rounding artifact of +0.01/-0.02 bb vs the typed log (7.06 vs 7.05; settled 76.78 vs the log-sum 76.76; 220.84 vs 220.82). Per the truth hierarchy the typed LOG TEXT governs: fixture ships 7.05 / 20.08 / 82.20 / 61.86 with derived pots 22.5 / 36.6 / 76.76 — every derived pot is within the ±0.05 bb reconciliation tolerance of every felt label.", "gated_widgets": "PT4 per-seat equity readouts (flop 'Hero - 49%'/'P6 - 51%', river 'Hero - 82%'/'P6 - 18%') and the stats grid visible at t=1600 are HUD-class numerals: recorded here pipeline-side, displayed nowhere (G9)." }, "equity_tool": { "tool": "HoldEq v1.1.7 (own frame f_1847, t=1847 — opened over the replayer during the verdict window)", "board_field": "KhKd9s8d7h", "range_2": "Jh9h = 24.242% equity / 24.242% win / 0.000% tie", "range_1": "Tyler's rolled-out jam range = 75.758%; string partially readable ('99-77, K9s..K.s, 65s, K.o, Ad?d combos …' truncated at the field edge) — the crisp load-bearing readings are the two equity percentages and the board/hero fields, which match his spoken enumeration (K9 stuff, KQ, eights, jack-ten of diamonds, s206; 5-4 diamonds s209; nines s210)", "spoken_anchor": "s212 '24 percent actually' and s214-s215 'that's kind of best case scenario 25' / 'the best case scenario is 25' — a reading OF this hand on this board, not a solver node" }, "identity_corroborations": [ "Operator hand-ID at two timestamps: title bar 'Ignition Hand #4451970111 - $2 NL FAST (6 max)' identical at t=1680 (f_1680, flop playback) and t=1783/1847 (f_1783/f_1847, river playback).", "Spoken-fact ↔ pixel: s211 'jack hearts nine of hearts and king king eight seven' = hero J♥9♥ (red-heart faces, hero seat) + board K K 8 7 as Tyler types them into HoldEq (f_1847 board field KhKd9s8d7h).", "Action-shape ↔ log: Tyler s197 'did i call yeah got it i mean yeah you called' (t=1719, in-window) matches the log's final line 'Hero calls 61.86 BB'; the s193-s196 exchange about 3-betting this preflop spot BB-vs-BTN matches 'Hero raises to 11 BB' over the button's 2.50 open. (Eric s188 'yeah i shouldn't have called', t=1650.5, is NOT cited: it precedes this hand's on-screen window and belongs to the preceding browse hand — stage-5 fidelity gate 2026-08-08.)", "Number ↔ tool: s212 '24 percent actually' = HoldEq Range 2 (Jh9h) 24.242% on this exact board.", "Window disambiguated: at t=1600 the screen still shows the PREVIOUS review hand (#4450371308, board J-9-J-J-A, hero TT — own frame f_1600); hand #4451970111 is on screen from t=1676 through the verdict beats." ], "frames": [ "scratchpad/dh2/fold-two-pair-counterfeited/f_1680.jpg (t=1680 — title bar, flop state, all six seats/stacks incl. CO 101.50)", "scratchpad/dh2/fold-two-pair-counterfeited/z_log_1676.png / z_log_1680.png / z_log_1783.png (three log scroll states concatenating the full preflop→river log)", "scratchpad/dh2/fold-two-pair-counterfeited/f_1783.jpg (t=1783 — river state AT the first verdict word w4638; Anki card over it: Front 'Call or Fold', Back 'Only beat missed flush draws., there's very few combos of missed flush draws on the board.')", "scratchpad/dh2/fold-two-pair-counterfeited/f_1847.jpg + z_holdeq_rows.png (t=1847 — HoldEq window, second verdict window)", "scratchpad/dh2/fold-two-pair-counterfeited/z_board.png / z_hero.png (4-colour board + hero-card zooms)", "frames are READ-ONLY evidence; never aired (title bar and felt carry operator branding)" ] } }, "context": "$2 NL FAST 6-MAX · 3-BET POT · BB VS BTN", "hero": { "pos": "BB", "cards": [ "Jh", "9h" ], "stack_bb": 61.86, "avatar": "lono_ghoul" }, "seats": [ { "pos": "UTG", "avatar": "ghoul_6091", "stack_bb": 116.1, "folded": true }, { "pos": "HJ", "avatar": "ghoul_608", "stack_bb": 327.61, "folded": true }, { "pos": "CO", "avatar": "ghoul_2020", "stack_bb": 101.5, "folded": true }, { "pos": "BTN", "avatar": "ghoul_3227", "stack_bb": 0, "villain": true, "button": true }, { "pos": "SB", "avatar": "ghoul_4131", "stack_bb": 267.01, "folded": true } ], "streets": [ { "name": "preflop", "actions": [ { "pos": "UTG", "act": "fold" }, { "pos": "HJ", "act": "fold" }, { "pos": "CO", "act": "fold" }, { "pos": "BTN", "act": "open", "to_bb": 2.5 }, { "pos": "SB", "act": "fold" }, { "pos": "hero", "act": "3bet", "to_bb": 11 }, { "pos": "BTN", "act": "call" } ], "pot_bb": 22.5 }, { "name": "flop", "board": [ "8d", "7h", "Kd" ], "actions": [ { "pos": "hero", "act": "bet", "to_bb": 7.05 }, { "pos": "BTN", "act": "call" } ], "pot_bb": 36.6 }, { "name": "turn", "board": [ "8d", "7h", "Kd", "Kh" ], "actions": [ { "pos": "hero", "act": "bet", "to_bb": 20.08 }, { "pos": "BTN", "act": "call" } ], "pot_bb": 76.76 }, { "name": "river", "board": [ "8d", "7h", "Kd", "Kh", "9s" ], "actions": [ { "pos": "hero", "act": "check" }, { "pos": "BTN", "act": "allin", "to_bb": 82.2 } ] } ], "prompt": "J♥9♥ · THE RIVER PAIRS YOUR NINE ON A KK BOARD · HIS JAM PUTS YOU ALL-IN — CALL OR FOLD?", "pot_bb": 158.96, "options": [ { "id": "call", "label": "CALL" }, { "id": "fold", "label": "FOLD" } ], "correct": "fold", "option_feedback": { "call": "The river looks like it helped you — but look at what it did to the board. With K-K out there, your 'two pair' is really one pair of nines under the kings: any king has trips, K-9 and 8-8 have full houses, and jack-ten just made the straight when the 9 hit. Tyler's read on this spot: it can't really be over-bluffed — the only hands you beat are missed diamond draws, and there's very few combos of those on this board. Rolling out his jam range gives you ~25% best case — nowhere near the ~31% his overbet jam demands.", "fold": "Correct — Tyler rolls out what jams here: 'king-nine stuff, king-queen, probably eights… he's got some jack-ten.' Every king made trips, K-9 and 8-8 are full houses, and jack-ten made the straight when the 9 hit — the board's kings counterfeit your nines-up. You only beat missed diamond draws, 'very few combos of missed flush draws on this board.' His roll-out: ~25% equity best case, and calling your last 61.9 BB to win 138.6 needs ~31%. That's why he calls it expensive — fold." }, "verdict_text": "He's got like king-nine stuff here, right — king-queen, probably eights — yeah, it also got there: he's got some jack-ten, he's got like jack-ten of diamonds. Really, this is what you need to know: how much equity do I have on this river? That's kind of best-case scenario, 25 — which is kind of expensive.", "aired_transcript": "I mean, he's got like king nine stuff here, right king queen probably eights. Yeah, it also got there. I Got there He's got some jacked hands. He's got like jacked in a diamonds because really this is what you need to know how much equity Do I have on this? That's kind of best case scenario 25 which is kind of expensive", "principle": "A second pair on the board counterfeits yours: with K-K out there, nines-up plays as one pair, and the hands that jam a paired river — trips, full houses, straights — all beat it. Count what he jams with, not your hand label.", "pct_provenance": { "25": { "role": "equity_at_decision", "referent": "Hero's (J♥9♥) river equity against the jam range Tyler rolls out in HoldEq on this exact board (KhKd9s8d7h): the tool reads 24.242%; Tyler speaks '24 percent actually' (s212, not aired) and settles on the aired 'that's kind of best case scenario 25' (s214). Displayed rounded as ~25%. 'Best case' is Tyler's own qualifier: the rolled range is generous to hero (it includes the missed-diamond draws he enumerates).", "source": "own frame f_1847 (HoldEq v1.1.7: Range 2 'Jh9h' = 24.242%, Range 1 = 75.758%) + SER RiverCalls s212-s215. Single-hand equity vs an assigned range — no population figure." }, "31": { "role": "price", "referent": "Breakeven equity of the graded call: hero's last 61.86 BB to win the 76.76 BB settled pot plus the 61.86 BB of the jam he can match — 61.86 / 200.48 = 30.9%, displayed ~31%. The jam is 82.20 BB but hero has only 61.86 behind, so the uncalled 20.34 BB returns to villain; the naive 82.20-to-win-158.96 price (34.1%) is NOT the effective price of this call.", "source": "fixture arithmetic from the log lines 'P6… bets 82.20 BB / Hero calls 61.86 BB' (own frames z_log_1783 / f_1783)" } }, "size_claims": { "overbet": { "street": "river", "actor": "BTN", "bet_bb": 82.2, "pot_before_bb": 76.76, "pct_of_pot": 107.1, "note": "the jam is 82.20 BB into the 76.76 BB settled pot = 107% of pot — an overbet that covers hero's remaining 61.86 BB", "source": "log 'P6… bets 82.20 BB' + felt chip labels (f_1783)" } }, "claims": [ { "text": "every king made trips, K-9 and 8-8 are full houses, and jack-ten made the straight when the 9 hit", "lhs": "villain jam-range classes on 8d 7h Kd Kh 9s", "op": "=", "rhs": "Kx = trips; K9 = kings full of nines; 88 = eights full of kings; JT = J-T-9-8-7 straight (the river 9s completes it)", "source": "board logic on the logged runout + Tyler's enumeration s206 ('king nine stuff… king queen probably eights… jack ten of diamonds', aired) + Eric s200 ('10 jack does… it's a straight six five hits a straight')" }, { "text": "you only beat missed diamond draws, very few combos of missed flush draws on this board", "lhs": "hands in the jam range that J♥9♥ (K-K-9-9-J) beats", "op": "=", "rhs": "busted diamond draws (ace-high) only — and the tape's own count of them is 'very few combos'", "source": "s201 'only miss flush draws' + Eric s203-s204; the same sentence is typed on-screen into the Anki card Tyler saves for this hand (f_1783, Back field verbatim)" }, { "text": "~25% equity best case", "lhs": "Jh9h vs Tyler's rolled-out jam range on KhKd9s8d7h", "op": "=", "rhs": "24.242% (HoldEq, f_1847), spoken as '24 percent actually' then the aired 'best case scenario 25'", "source": "f_1847 + s212/s214-s215" }, { "text": "calling your last 61.9 BB to win 138.6 needs ~31%", "lhs": "61.86 / (76.76 + 61.86 + 61.86)", "op": "=", "rhs": "30.9%", "source": "fixture arithmetic from the log; jam 82.20 exceeds hero's 61.86 behind, uncalled excess returns" }, { "text": "this spot can't really be over-bluffed", "lhs": "Tyler's read of the node", "op": "=", "rhs": "qualitative: the jam range is value-weighted because so few missed draws exist", "source": "s197 'we just need to know that this can't really be over bluffed' (not aired; displayed as an attributed read in the call feedback)" } ], "unverifiable_claims": [ "No read on the villain exists anywhere on tape — P6 is an anonymous fast-fold-pool hash. The villain seat is therefore UNNAMED; the prior fixture's 'REG' name was invented biography and is removed.", "s210 'you should probably have nines here too occasionally as annoying as that is' — Tyler also gives the jam range some 9-9 (nines full); it strengthens the fold and is not displayed as a separate count.", "'Best case' is Tyler's judgment that his rolled range is generous to hero (it includes the missed Ad-x-d draws and the 5-4/6-5 diamond combos of s209); no separate measurement of a tighter range exists.", "The hand's actual result (log: 'Hero calls 61.86 BB' — hero called the jam in-game) is session biography — the quiz ends at the decision and narrates no result. Eric's 'yeah i shouldn't have called' (s188, t=1650.5) predates this hand's on-screen window (~1676) and refers to a preceding browse hand; it is not attributed to this hand." ], "cosmetic_invention": [ "Avatars only (art): hero lono_ghoul; UTG ghoul_6091; HJ ghoul_608; CO ghoul_2020; BTN ghoul_3227; SB ghoul_4131. Everything else — the 6-max ring ('$2 NL FAST (6 max)' title + 'Seat 6 … is the dealer'), the positions (P1=SB/Hero=BB/P3=UTG/P4=HJ/P5=CO/P6=BTN from the blind posts and action order), hero's exact cards J♥9♥ (4-colour felt pixels + Tyler's spoken 'jack hearts nine of hearts', s211), the full board with suits from the LOG TEXT [8d 7h Kd]/[Kh]/[9s], every bet size, every pot and all six stacks — is read off the replayer log and felt; nothing is staged.", "NOT invented and deliberately absent: a villain name or read (the tape states none)." ], "concept": "counterfeited-two-pair", "concepts_secondary": [], "topic": "river-defense", "difficulty": 4, "decision": { "pot_settled_bb": 76.76, "bets": { "BTN": 82.2 } } }