{ "schema_version": "1.3", "rebuild": "v2", "provenance_class": "dealt_hand", "table_size": 6, "id": "qt6-ak-overbet-bluff-vs-fish", "format": "multi_option", "free": true, "updated_at": "2026-08-08T00:00:00Z", "source": { "session_id": "LivePlayonCoinpokerandSome1-2Review", "verdict_audio": "quiz/audio/qt6-ak-overbet-bluff-vs-fish.m4a", "verdict_beats": "s669 (t=3038.62-3045.20) + s670 (t=3046.46-3053.52) + s686 (t=3123.12-3125.64) + s687 (t=3125.80-3127.24) — the beats already registered in tools/cut_quiz_audio.py. Clip NOT re-cut this rebuild: 19.97 s, all four sentences are tyler + spk_confident, all four are about THIS node (the SB flop decision with A-K on T-6-Q), and the clip airs no number, no card, no size and no population magnitude. Echo-checked 2026-08-08 (faster-whisper small.en re-ASR of the shipped m4a) — see aired_transcript. Screen at the first verdict word: own frame t=3038.7 is the PokerTracker replayer on this hand (river node, rewinding); by t=3046.6 — the second aired sentence — it is parked on the FLOP DECISION NODE itself ('Pot: 6 BB', hero to act, 115.50 BB behind) and stays there through t=3070.", "lesson_slug": null, "master_slug": "LivePlayonCoinpokerandSome1-2Review_master", "master_t": 2055.4, "src_t": 3038.6, "ser_sentences": [582, 634, 647, 655, 657, 658, 663, 665, 668, 669, 670, 671, 672, 673, 674, 675, 683, 685, 686, 687, 704, 705, 710, 712], "hand_record": { "site": "Ignition hand, reviewed in the PokerTracker 4 replayer (frames READ-ONLY provenance, never aired — the title bar and felt carry poker-room branding)", "hand_id": "#4771708857", "hand_started": "2025/04/09 11:44 pm", "stake": "$2 NL (6 max) — Hold'em", "stake_source": "own frames. Log begins-line, crisp black text at t=2890: 'Ignition Hand #4771708857 begins at 2025/04/09 11:44 pm'; replayer title bar at t=3038.7: 'Playback for Ignition Hand #4771708857 (2) - $2 NL (6 max) - Holdem'. The session title ('…and Some 1-2 Review') matches the $1/$2 stake.", "units_note": "the replayer prints every amount natively in BB ('Hero posts the small blind 0.50 BB', 'Hero raises to 3 BB', 'Pot: 6 BB', 'Hero bets 6.70 BB'); this fixture copies those BB figures verbatim. NO $-to-bb conversion is performed anywhere. The overlay 'Avg Stack: $213' is left uninterpreted — a $2-per-BB scale is derivable from the title bar + the 1 BB blind post, but nothing in this fixture needs it.", "video_t": [2880, 3130], "frames": [ "t=2890 (scratchpad dh3/qt6-ak-overbet-bluff-vs-fish/frames/f_2890.png, log zoom crops/beginsline_2890.png) — log scrolled to the very TOP: hand id + start time, 'Seat 3 (P3-cc7d267599ae0a605aeaafc71eab8998) is the dealer', 'Hero posts the small blind 0.50 BB', 'P5-0f3181729c6c64c532a022c16b7dac6a posts the big blind 1 BB'. This is where hero=SB and villain=BB are read off pixels.", "t=2925 (frames/f_2925.png) — flop node AFTER hero's bet: 'Pot: 12.70 BB', 'Odds 1.90:1 - 35%', centre pot chip '6 BB', hero bet chips '6.70 BB', hero seat 108.80 BB, villain 97 BB; log pane shows the four folds, 'Hero raises to 3 BB', 'P5… calls 2 BB', 'Flop: [Ts 6s Qc]', 'Hero bets 6.70 BB'. Villain HUD zoom (crops/villain_hud_2925.png): 'VP 37 / PR 21 / 3B 0 / CB 100 — P5-0f / 100 BB / FCB 0 / (20)'.", "t=3038.7 (frames/f_3038.7.png + crops) — river node, all cards face-up: hero A(spade grey) K(heart red) = A♠K♥; board T(spade) 6(spade) Q(club green) 4(spade) 9(heart) = T♠6♠Q♣4♠9♥; villain 8(heart) 7(diamond blue) = 8♥7♦; 'Pot: 135.90 BB'; log verbatim 'Hero bets 6.70 BB / P5… raises to 14.40 BB / Hero calls 7.70 BB / Turn: [4s] / Hero checks / P5… checks / River: [9h] / Hero bets 101.10 BB'.", "t=3046.6 (frames/f_3046.6.png, seat zooms crops/seats_3046.png) — THE DECISION NODE this quiz renders, on screen during the second aired sentence: 'Pot: 6 BB', hero to act, 'Hero - 68% / 115.50 BB' (green = to act), 'P5-0f3181729… - 32% / 97 BB', no chips in front of anyone, board T♠ 6♠ Q♣. Folded seats: P1 141.29 BB, P2 100 BB, P3 64.96 BB, P6 ~12x.54 BB (first digits occluded by its own HUD).", "t=3055, t=3070 (crops/logscan_3055.png, crops/logscan_3070.png) — replayer still parked on that same flop node for the whole aired window.", "t=3123.2 (frames/f_3123.2.png, crops/wiz_tree_3123.png) — the SECOND aired beat (s686-687) is spoken over GTO Wizard, tab 'QcTs6s - Solutions', sidebar 'Cash 100bb / 6max NL500 / General GTO', tree CO Fold · BTN Fold · SB Raise 3 · BB Call · FLOP Q T 6 · SB(97) Check/Bet 2(33%)/Bet 3(50%)/Bet 4.5(75%)/Bet 7.5(125%) · BB Raise 18(50%) · SB Call · TURN 4 · check-check · RIVER 9 — Tyler re-walking THIS hand's line (he types the node in at s640-642, t≈2949-2962). NOTE: the Wizard's game is NL500 at 100 bb, i.e. the TOOL's game type, not this hand's stake or stack — no figure from that screen is displayed in this fixture." ], "log_verbatim": [ "Ignition Hand #4771708857 begins at 2025/04/09 11:44 pm", "Seat 3 (P3-cc7d267599ae0a605aeaafc71eab8998) is the dealer", "Hero posts the small blind 0.50 BB", "P5-0f3181729c6c64c532a022c16b7dac6a posts the big blind 1 BB", "P6-6f50157e24a99c1c95ad24d6ea9b649b folds", "P1-e323f47c027cf474ce61f90c5f2f7610 folds", "P2-b9d5452d2cfa86b61265e3d51be8b55b folds", "P3-cc7d267599ae0a605aeaafc71eab8998 folds", "Hero raises to 3 BB", "P5-0f3181729c6c64c532a022c16b7dac6a calls 2 BB", "Flop: [Ts 6s Qc]", "Hero bets 6.70 BB", "P5-0f3181729c6c64c532a022c16b7dac6a raises to 14.40 BB", "Hero calls 7.70 BB", "Turn: [4s]", "Hero checks", "P5-0f3181729c6c64c532a022c16b7dac6a checks", "River: [9h]", "Hero bets 101.10 BB" ], "table_structure": "6-max ring, all six seats occupied, no straddle and no ante (the log's only posts are the 0.50 BB small blind and the 1 BB big blind). Dealer = Seat 3 (P3). Preflop action order in the log is P6, P1, P2, P3, Hero, P5 — so P6=UTG, P1=HJ, P2=CO, P3=BTN, Hero=SB, P5=BB. Four folds leave a BLIND-vs-BLIND single-raised pot (Tyler, s634: 'because you're blind versus blind'). Hero is the SB, so hero is OUT of position and acts FIRST on every postflop street — this is a 6-max game, not a heads-up game, so the SB is not the button.", "stacks_bb": { "hero_at_decision": 115.5, "villain_at_decision": 97, "effective_at_decision": 97, "hero_start_derived": "118.5 — seat reads 115.50 BB at the flop node after the 3 BB open (own frame t=3046.6) and 108.80 BB after the 6.70 BB bet (t=2925); HUD line 'Hero / 118 BB'", "villain_start_derived": "100 — 97 behind at the flop node plus the 3 BB he called preflop; HUD line 'P5-0f / 100 BB'", "folded_seats_at_decision": "P1 (HJ) 141.29, P2 (CO) 100, P3 (BTN) 64.96, P6 (UTG) ~12x.54 (leading digits occluded by the HUD box; not rendered on the felt for that reason)" }, "spr_note": "97 BB effective into a 6 BB pot = SPR ≈ 16 at the decision. Recorded because it is why the overbet is a commitment question and not a free swing; the number is not displayed.", "result": "Hero's 6.70 BB overbet was RAISED to 14.40 BB; hero called 7.70 more; turn 4♠ checked through; river 9♥ and hero jammed 101.10 BB into 34.80 BB with ace-high. Villain's cards are face-up in the replayer at that node — 8♥7♦, a rivered 6-7-8-9-T straight — and the replayer's equity readout flips to 'P5-0f3181729… - 100%' (the hero plate drops its percentage entirely and reads 'Hero / 0 BB'). The showdown/win lines sit below the visible scroll in every frame sampled, so the payout line is NOT log-verbatim; Tyler names the outcome on tape instead (s663: 'this thing's like it's a bluff that ended up going badly'). Recorded for provenance; the result is not displayed and not graded." } }, "context": "ERIC'S OWN HAND · $2 NL 6-MAX · BLIND vs BLIND · vs A REC", "hero": { "pos": "SB", "cards": [ "As", "Kh" ], "stack_bb": 115.5, "avatar": "lono_ghoul", "button": false }, "seats": [ { "pos": "BB", "avatar": "ghoul_2714", "name": "REC", "stack_bb": 97, "villain": true }, { "pos": "UTG", "avatar": "ghoul_3197", "folded": true }, { "pos": "HJ", "avatar": "ghoul_1168", "folded": true }, { "pos": "CO", "avatar": "ghoul_2643", "folded": true }, { "pos": "BTN", "avatar": "ghoul_99", "folded": true, "button": true } ], "streets": [ { "name": "preflop", "actions": [ { "pos": "UTG", "act": "fold" }, { "pos": "HJ", "act": "fold" }, { "pos": "CO", "act": "fold" }, { "pos": "BTN", "act": "fold" }, { "pos": "hero", "act": "open", "to_bb": 3 }, { "pos": "BB", "act": "call" } ], "pot_bb": 6 }, { "name": "flop", "board": [ "Ts", "6s", "Qc" ], "actions": [] } ], "prompt": "A♠K♥ · OVERCARDS, GUTSHOT, BACKDOOR SPADES · BLIND vs BLIND ON T-6-Q vs A REC — OVERBET THE FLOP, OR BLOCK / CHECK?", "pot_bb": 6, "options": [ { "id": "overbet", "label": "OVERBET — 6.7 BB INTO 6" }, { "id": "block_or_check", "label": "BLOCK BET OR CHECK" } ], "correct": "block_or_check", "option_feedback": { "overbet": "An overbet is a bet on folds — and this is the wrong board and the wrong opponent to expect them from. Tyler's ruling: a texture this coordinated is too wet for a rec to over-fold, so 'your ace-king combos and an overbet on the flop kind of expect him to over-fold, and they tend to do the exact opposite.' Theory says he's supposed to fold a ten here; a rec doesn't. That is exactly what happened: 6.7 BB into 6 (a 112% overbet) came back as a raise to 14.4 BB, and ace-high with a gutshot and one spade has nothing left to continue with.", "block_or_check": "Correct — 'the ace-king, we probably don't want to bet this big; we want to block or check.' The big sizing is only worth paying for if it buys folds, and against a rec who over-calls those folds never arrive, so every over-sized bluff bleeds. Block or check, keep the pot cheap with the worst part of your range, and save the big bets for the hands that want to be called — Tyler's own list here is queen-ten, kings, aces, the real straight-flush draws." }, "verdict_text": "This board texture is too coordinated to expect him to over-fold as a rec. Your ace-king combos and an overbet on the flop kind of expect him to over-fold — and they tend to do the exact opposite. With the ace-king, we probably don't want to bet this big; we want to block or check.", "aired_transcript": "Oh, I just think practically, like, this board texture is too coordinated to expect him to overfold as a rec. And so, like, your Ace-King combos and an overbet on the flop kind of expects him to overfold, and they tend to do the exact opposite. Well, Ace-King, we probably don't want to bet this big. We want to block or check, right?", "aired_transcript_note": "Verbatim faster-whisper small.en re-ASR of quiz/audio/qt6-ak-overbet-bluff-vs-fish.m4a (19.97 s, beats s669+s670 then s686+s687), run 2026-08-08. Two ASR artefacts are normalised above against the SER words: small.en heard 'as a wreck' for 'as a rec' and 'combo is an overbed' for 'combos and overbet'. No cards, no sizes, no percentages and no population figures are aired.", "principle": "An overbet buys folds or it buys nothing: on a coordinated board a recreational over-calls instead of over-folding, so shrink or check your air there and reserve the big sizing for the hands that want a call.", "pct_provenance": { "112": { "role": "size", "referent": "Hero's ACTUAL flop bet as a fraction of the flop pot at THIS decision: 6.70 BB into the 6 BB pot = 111.7%, displayed as 112%. Not a solver frequency and not an equity — the two figures come from the same frames as the felt.", "source": "own frames f_3046.6 ('Pot: 6 BB' at the decision) and f_2925 (chip labels '6 BB' centre / '6.70 BB' hero, log line 'Hero bets 6.70 BB'); fixture arithmetic 6.70 / 6.00" } }, "pct_provenance_note": "No other percentage is displayed anywhere in this quiz, by choice. Two tempting figures were deliberately withheld: (a) the replayer's 'Hero - 68% / P5 - 32%' readout at this node is an ALL-CARDS-KNOWN equity — hero cannot see 8♥7♦ at the decision, so showing it would be hindsight; (b) the GTO Wizard overview on screen at the second aired beat (Bet 7.5 125% / Bet 4.5 75% / Bet 3 50% / Bet 2 33% / Check) reports RANGE-wide frequencies for a NL500 100 bb general-GTO solution — a different game from this $2 NL hand and not this combo's strategy.", "size_claims": { "overbet": { "street": "flop", "actor": "hero", "bet_bb": 6.7, "pct_of_pot": 111.7, "note": "The option label, the prompt, the id and the verdict all say 'overbet'. The bet in question is hero's real flop bet: 6.70 BB into the 6 BB pot = 111.7% of pot, i.e. genuinely over the pot. It is not rendered as an action on the felt because the fixture stops AT the decision — the felt shows the 6 BB pot with hero to act.", "source": "own frames f_3046.6 (pot before the bet) + f_2925 (the bet on the felt and in the log)" } }, "claims": [ { "text": "blind vs blind, single-raised, 6 BB pot at the decision", "basis": "log verbatim 'Hero posts the small blind 0.50 BB' / 'P5… posts the big blind 1 BB' / four folds / 'Hero raises to 3 BB' / 'P5… calls 2 BB' → 3 + 3 = 6 BB, and the felt header reads 'Pot: 6 BB' at the node.", "source": "own frames t=2890 (log top), t=3046.6 (felt); Tyler s634 'because you're blind versus blind'" }, { "text": "hero holds A♠K♥ on T♠ 6♠ Q♣ — two overcards, a gutshot to Broadway, and a BACKDOOR nut-flush draw (one spade in hand, two on the flop)", "basis": "4-colour deck at 4x zoom: hero's ace on the grey spade background with a spade pip, king red with a heart pip; board T and 6 grey/spade, Q green/club. The typed log agrees: 'Flop: [Ts 6s Qc]'. With only one spade in hand the flop draw is BACKDOOR — the fourth spade arrives on the turn (log 'Turn: [4s]'), which is what Eric's s668 'you wouldn't want to shove your flushes when you got there' refers to. The pre-audit fixture's rainbow board Qs/Th/6d and hero AdKc are both wrong; the screening record's 'nut flush draw on the flop' overstates it in the other direction.", "source": "own frames f_3038.7 crops (hero_cards_3038.png, board_3038.png) + log verbatim" }, { "text": "the graded overbet is hero's real bet: 6.7 BB into 6 (112%)", "basis": "log 'Hero bets 6.70 BB' with the felt showing the 6 BB pot chip and the 6.70 BB bet chip side by side; 6.70 / 6.00 = 111.7%.", "source": "own frames f_2925, f_3046.6; see pct_provenance['112']" }, { "text": "the rec answered the overbet with a RAISE to 14.4 BB, not a fold", "basis": "log verbatim 'P5-0f3181729… raises to 14.40 BB'; felt at t=2900 tags the villain seat 'RAISE' with 14.40 BB chips out and the header reads 'Pot: 27.10 BB'. This is the evidence for Tyler's 'they tend to do the exact opposite' (s670) and for his later reading of the response, s683 'the response is clearly like he's over calling'.", "source": "own frames f_2900, f_3038.7 (log)" }, { "text": "'he's supposed to fold a ten' — the theory baseline the overbet leans on, quoted in the wrong-answer feedback", "basis": "Tyler s674-675: '…that's the kind of old school pro in me because he's supposed to fold a 10. He's supposed to fold it.' It is quoted as the expectation this opponent fails to meet, which is the whole mechanism of the ruling.", "source": "SER LivePlayonCoinpokerandSome1-2Review s674, s675" }, { "text": "the villain is a rec who over-calls — Tyler's own words, not a HUD inference", "basis": "s669 '…to expect him to over fold as a rec'; s683 'the response is clearly like he's over calling'; s710 'your opponent over calls by a lot and so your bluffs lose money'. The seat tag 'REC' quotes s669. The villain's HUD (VP 37 / PR 21 / CB 100 / FCB 0 over 20 hands) is consistent but is NOT displayed and is not the basis of the tag — Tyler spends this very session rubbishing stat-line reads at that sample size (s582 'it's 1714 after 35 hands… all you know is the guy's running cold').", "source": "SER LivePlayonCoinpokerandSome1-2Review s669/s683/s710; own frame crops/villain_hud_2925.png" }, { "text": "the value list in the correct-answer feedback (queen-ten, kings, aces, straight-flush draws) is Tyler's, spoken about this node", "basis": "s671-673 'I would be much more inclined to have a hand that I could play in some meaningful way. So like Queen 10, kings, aces, some sort of straight flush draw, just because I know that this is likely to get over called'; s704-705 'you should [over]bet your value bets big… and expand the value bet range slightly'; s712 'any time you add a weak draw, you lose money'.", "source": "SER s671, s672, s673, s704, s705, s710, s712" }, { "text": "hero acts FIRST on the flop", "basis": "6-max ring with six seats occupied and hero in the small blind (log posts + dealer line 'Seat 3 (P3…) is the dealer'); in a 6-max game the SB is out of position postflop. The log confirms it — the first flop line is 'Hero bets 6.70 BB'. The heads-up rule (SB = button, acts last) does not apply: this is not a two-handed game, it is a six-handed game that folded to the blinds.", "source": "own frames t=2890 (dealer + posts), t=2925 (flop log order)" } ], "unverifiable_claims": [ "'ERIC'S OWN HAND' in the context line: the replayer seat is labelled 'Hero' and the session is Tyler reviewing Eric's play — Eric speaks of it in the first person (s647 'my… overbet', s655-656 'I'm finally over that jamming', s657 'I felt like this was played right back') and Tyler addresses him in the second person (s670 'YOUR ace king combos'). The hand history itself is anonymised, so 'Eric' is inference from the session's dialogue, not from pixels.", "Two editorial lines in option_feedback.overbet are ours, not Tyler's words: the framing 'an overbet is a bet on folds', and the closing judgement that ace-high with a gutshot and one spade 'has nothing left to continue with' once the raise lands. They compress s669 ('too coordinated to expect him to over fold as a rec'), s671 ('I would be much more inclined to have a hand that I could play in some meaningful way') and s712 ('any time you add a weak draw, you lose money'). Note that hero in fact called the raise on tape — the line is a judgement about the hand's strength, not a claim about what hero did.", "The second aired beat (s686-687, 'we probably don't want to bet this big… block or check') is spoken while GTO Wizard is on screen rather than the replayer. It is an EXPLOIT conclusion about this opponent — the sentences immediately before it are s683 'the response is clearly like he's over calling' and s685 'so if he over calls… suddenly we can check' — delivered over the solution grid for this exact board and node. No figure from that grid is displayed here, and the grid's game (NL500, 100 bb) is not this hand's game.", "Tyler's 'block' branch is named but never sized on tape. The fixture therefore offers 'BLOCK BET OR CHECK' as one option instead of pricing a block bet; the smallest branch in the tree he had open for this node is Bet 2 (33% of pot), recorded here for reference only and not displayed." ], "cosmetic_invention": [ "Ghoul avatars on every seat (hero lono_ghoul) — art only; the real table shows anonymised hashes (P1-e323f47c…, P5-0f3181729…).", "Seat LABELS UTG / HJ / CO / BTN for the four folded players. The replayer prints no position names; these are the standard 6-max names derived from the log's own action order (P6, P1, P2, P3, Hero, P5) with 'Seat 3 (P3…) is the dealer'. The mapping is forced, not chosen, but the words themselves are ours.", "The four folded seats are rendered without stacks. Their real stacks are in hand_record.stacks_bb; UTG's plate is partly occluded by its own HUD box in every sampled frame, so none of the four is shown rather than showing three and guessing one.", "Putting a one-word tag on the villain's seat plate at all is ours — the replayer prints only an anonymised hash (P5-0f3181729…). The tag's CONTENT is not invented: 'REC' is Tyler's own word for this opponent, so the read itself is filed under sourced_not_invented. Two words that are NOT Tyler's and are therefore kept off the felt: the pre-audit tag 'STATION' (nobody says 'station' about this player anywhere in the session) is removed, and 'fish', which survives only in the frozen URL slug '-vs-fish'." ], "sourced_not_invented": [ "Hero cards A♠K♥ — own frame f_3038.7 (4-colour deck, spade pip on the grey ace, heart pip on the red king).", "Flop T♠ 6♠ Q♣ — typed log 'Flop: [Ts 6s Qc]' (t=2925/3046.6) and the felt itself; the spades are LOAD-BEARING (they are why AK has a backdoor nut-flush draw and why the 4♠ turn matters to Eric's s668), so they are sourced, not invented.", "Preflop tree and sizes: 0.50 / 1 BB posts, four folds, 'Hero raises to 3 BB', 'P5… calls 2 BB' → 6 BB pot — log verbatim at t=2890/2925/3046.6, felt header 'Pot: 6 BB'.", "Stacks at the decision: hero 115.50 BB, villain 97 BB (effective 97) — seat plates at t=3046.6, zoomed in crops/seats_3046.png.", "The overbet size 6.70 BB and the villain's raise to 14.40 BB — log verbatim plus the felt chip labels at t=2925 and t=2900.", "Position: hero = SB (posted the small blind), villain = BB (posted the big blind), dealer = Seat 3 — log top at t=2890. Blind-vs-blind is also stated on tape (s634).", "Stake $2 NL (6 max) — title bar and log begins-line, both citing hand #4771708857.", "The villain read 'rec' and 'he's over calling' — Tyler, s669 / s683 / s710.", "Hero acts FIRST on the flop — forced by the sourced structure (six seats dealt, 'Seat 3 (P3…) is the dealer', hero posted the small blind) and confirmed by the log's first flop line being 'Hero bets 6.70 BB'. Not a rendering choice." ], "concept": "dont-bluff-a-calling-station", "concepts_secondary": [], "topic": "exploiting-recreationals", "difficulty": 3, "decision": { "pot_settled_bb": 6.0, "bets": {} } }