Lesson
Finding the Threshold Bluff
River Bluffing · advanced · 12 min
Tyler reviews how to identify the threshold where a river bluff becomes profitable and how missed bluffs can cost win rate. The lesson focuses on using solver output and population fold data to choose bluffing hands, especially when opponents overfold to large river bets.
Key takeaways
- Use solver review after a session to locate the threshold hand where bluffing switches from minus EV to plus EV.
- Separate threshold bluff spots from hands that are clearly before the threshold; hands well before the threshold should be taken every time rather than rolled.
- When a population overfolds to river bets, GTO-profitable bluffs become even more profitable in practice.
- Do not choose smaller bluff sizes out of fear; in the reviewed river node, larger bets and jams are preferred when your range can represent strong value hands.
- Focus on betting the whole missed-draw region in the relevant river spot rather than fixating on one solver-specific combo detail.